Demographer Sanjeev Sanyal of Deutsche Bank predicts The Big Shrink. World’s fertility rate at replacement rate in 2025 World population peak 2055 at 8.7 billion and decline to 8.0 billion by 2100.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2025-12-31

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% on 2015-10-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://www.aei-ideas.org/2013/09/the-end-of-global-population-growth-may-be-almost-here-and-a-lot-sooner-than-the-un-thinks/” on 2015-10-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “I predict replacement rate at 2025 as well.http://predictionbook.com/predictions/134417” on 2015-10-07
• JoshuaZ said “Is this by 2025 or exactly in 2025?” on 2015-10-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “I assume by 2025. The link is there, click it and read for yourself.” on 2015-10-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-10-07
• HonoreDB said “Wouldn’t replacement rate be at the same time as the peak?” on 2015-10-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “In 1950, global fertility was about 5.0 and we were increasing by around 35 million per year. Today, fertility has dropped to half of that: 2.5. However, we are increasing by 76 million per year: more than twice the growth with half the fertility. ” on 2015-10-11
• Raahul_Kumar said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum” on 2015-10-11
• Raahul_Kumar said “World TFR for 2014 is 2.43. Will hit replacement rate soon.” on 2016-01-11