“On or before 8 June 2030, there will exist a computer language or programming system in which the prototypical first program, traditionally called “Hello, world!”, will have an executable file whose size exceeds 1 gigabyte.”
Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2030-06-08
- gwern estimated 1% on 2010-08-02
- gwern said “It would have to be a pathologically incompetent language to have a 1GB HW, and this prediction is clearly about a mainstream language.” on 2010-08-02
- Malgidus estimated 5% and said “Some complex genetic coding, maybe?” on 2013-03-27
- themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
- pranomostro estimated 2% on 2019-01-13
- Baeboo estimated 2% on 2019-01-13
- Leo estimated 1% on 2021-12-03