“There will be a casino on the moon by 2040.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2040-01-01

• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2011-05-24
• JoshuaZ said “Did you import this from http://longbets.org/377/ ? ” on 2011-08-21
• gwern said “yep” on 2011-08-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “Even in a really nice post-singularity world where people somehow still like casinos, the moon does not seem like a better location than a space hotel” on 2011-08-21
• Pablo estimated 0% on 2012-10-02
• Michael Dickens estimated 5% on 2013-06-16
• Ken estimated 0% on 2013-06-17
• NathanMcKnight estimated 2% and said “Too soon. ” on 2015-12-07
• EloiseRosen estimated 1% on 2015-12-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2015-12-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 35% and said “moon server hosting+satoshi dice puts the payload size of putting it up there small, if expensive. Mostly just communication issues with the interstellar internet prohibiting this.” on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 2% on 2019-01-13
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-01-13
• n99 estimated 0% on 2022-10-28