“By 2015 the majority of people who make predictions on this site will have had their genomes sequenced.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/404” on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “even 10K is enough that there’s no way a majority will have spent it.” on 2010-08-02
• gimpf estimated 0% on 2010-12-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2011-01-21
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.