“By 2011 a mother will have the entire genome sequence of her unborn child from her own blood.” —Jonathan M. Rothberg
Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2011-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-01-01.
- gwern estimated 5% on 2010-08-02
- gimpf estimated 1% on 2010-12-12
- gwern said “http://www.nature.com/news/2010/101208/full/news.2010.661.html says some progress and possible in a few years – but not yet, not yet. marking wrong” on 2011-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-01-01.
- gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/405” on 2011-01-01
- gwern changed their prediction from ““By 2011 a mother will have the entire genome sequence of her unborn child from her own blood.”” on 2011-01-01
- gwern said “cf. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2027” on 2011-01-01