“By 2025, Albert Einstein's theory of relativity will be considered an untenable explanation for light and gravity by a majority of scientists.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known in 5 days

• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/427” on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “the predictor further specifies that neither black holes nor dark matter exist. fail.” on 2010-08-02
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• themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-07
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• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-13
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• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2019-01-13