“By 2025, Quantum field theory will no longer be part of The Standard Model of particle physics.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-08-02
• gwern estimated 1% and said “http://www.longbets.org/429” on 2010-08-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-05-24
• Anubhav estimated 1% on 2011-10-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-01-13
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-01-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2019-01-13