“By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model.”
Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known in 6 days
- gwern estimated 100% on 2010-08-02
- gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/432” on 2010-08-02
- themusicgod1 estimated 100% on 2016-03-16
- JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2016-03-16
- pranomostro estimated 99% on 2019-01-13
- pranomostro said “Somebody paid 50$ to make this prediction.” on 2019-01-13
- Baeboo estimated 100% on 2019-01-13