“The Iraqi Dinar will revalue, and reach a value of 3 Dinars per 1 U.S. dollar, or better, by November 6/2013. Currently, as of November 6/08, the exchange rate is 1176 Iraqi Dinars, per U.S. dollar.”
Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2013-11-06; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-06.
- gwern estimated 5% on 2010-08-02
- gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/437” on 2010-08-02
- kallman estimated 1% and said “Happens exactly if they issue new currency pegged at 3 to 1 USD. Like zimbabwe!” on 2010-11-23
- gwern said “currently trades at 1,165 dinars to the dollar, marking wrong; see also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraqi_dinar#Speculation” on 2013-11-06
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2013-11-06.