“By 2020, GE crops will be grown on 10 fold more acreage than they are today, will be widely accepted by consumers and will have clearly benefited the goals of sustainable agriculture”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known 27 days ago; judged wrong by Bruno Parga 20 days ago.

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2010-08-02
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/522on 2010-08-02
  • gwern said “might be hard to judge this oneon 2010-08-02
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-07
  • pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-01-13
  • Bruno Parga said “I’d say both the second and third parts are dubious enough that the whole thing is wrong. (Also the first one might be clearly wrong, I don’t know.)30 days ago
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong 20 days ago.

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction