“Human population of the world will peak at or below 8 billion in the 2040s and then drop dramatically.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2049-12-31

• gwern estimated 20% on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/510” on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “peak seems too low to me” on 2010-08-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• Athrithalix estimated 15% on 2018-02-22
• pranomostro estimated 5% and said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_growth#World_population_in_2050” on 2019-01-13
• pranomostro said “See also: https://population.un.org/wpp/Graphs/Probabilistic/POP/TOT/” on 2019-01-13