PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

“I expect that, at least for the seven lean years and perhaps longer, the developed world will have to settle for about 2% real GDP growth (perhaps 2.25%) down from the 3.5% to which we used to aspire in the last 30 years.” —Jeremy Grantham

Created by gwern on 2010-08-03; known on 2016-03-07; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-08.