The recently resigned pope will announce he is an atheist
Created by ashrewdmint on 2013-02-11; known on 2013-05-11; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2013-05-11.
- ashrewdmint estimated 1% on 2013-02-11
- stephenh estimated 0% and said “Even if he is, he won’t announce it.” on 2013-02-11
- JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2013-02-11
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% on 2013-02-12
- Peter Hurford estimated 0% on 2013-02-12
- simplicio estimated 0% on 2013-02-12
- Tuxedage estimated 0% on 2013-02-13
- alecbrooks estimated 0% on 2013-02-13
- John Maxwell IV estimated 1% on 2013-02-14
- davidiach estimated 0% on 2013-02-14
- Emanuel Rylke estimated 0% on 2013-02-14
- Nic_Smith estimated 1% and said “Not as odd as it sounds. I could imagine something like this happening every century or two, so I’ll round up to 1%.” on 2013-02-16
- RobertLumley estimated 1% on 2013-02-16
- gwern estimated 0% and said “Nic, if it happens every century or two, can you point to 10-20 examples?” on 2013-02-17
- procran estimated 0% on 2013-02-18
- ChristianKl estimated 0% on 2013-02-18
- dhoe estimated 1% on 2013-02-20
- roxton estimated 0% on 2013-02-22
- PaulS estimated 0% on 2013-02-25
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2013-02-26
- modernalgebra estimated 0% on 2013-03-17
- hedges estimated 0% on 2013-03-22
- hedges estimated 0% on 2013-03-22
- tedks estimated 1% on 2013-04-25
- RandomThinker estimated 0% on 2013-04-25
- andrevan estimated 0% on 2013-04-27
- Malo estimated 0% on 2013-04-29
- ShIxtan estimated 0% on 2013-04-30
- kiba estimated 0% on 2013-05-06
- Nic_Smith judged this prediction wrong on 2013-05-11.