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The recently resigned pope will announce he is an atheist

Created by ashrewdmint on 2013-02-11; known on 2013-05-11; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2013-05-11.

  • ashrewdmint estimated 1% on 2013-02-11
  • stephenh estimated 0% and said “Even if he is, he won’t announce it.on 2013-02-11
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2013-02-11
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% on 2013-02-12
  • Peter Hurford estimated 0% on 2013-02-12
  • simplicio estimated 0% on 2013-02-12
  • Tuxedage estimated 0% on 2013-02-13
  • alecbrooks estimated 0% on 2013-02-13
  • John Maxwell IV estimated 1% on 2013-02-14
  • davidiach estimated 0% on 2013-02-14
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 0% on 2013-02-14
  • Nic_Smith estimated 1% and said “Not as odd as it sounds. I could imagine something like this happening every century or two, so I’ll round up to 1%.on 2013-02-16
  • RobertLumley estimated 1% on 2013-02-16
  • gwern estimated 0% and said “Nic, if it happens every century or two, can you point to 10-20 examples?on 2013-02-17
  • procran estimated 0% on 2013-02-18
  • ChristianKl estimated 0% on 2013-02-18
  • dhoe estimated 1% on 2013-02-20
  • roxton estimated 0% on 2013-02-22
  • PaulS estimated 0% on 2013-02-25
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2013-02-26
  • modernalgebra estimated 0% on 2013-03-17
  • hedges estimated 0% on 2013-03-22
  • hedges estimated 0% on 2013-03-22
  • tedks estimated 1% on 2013-04-25
  • RandomThinker estimated 0% on 2013-04-25
  • andrevan estimated 0% on 2013-04-27
  • Malo estimated 0% on 2013-04-29
  • ShIxtan estimated 0% on 2013-04-30
  • kiba estimated 0% on 2013-05-06
  • Nic_Smith   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-05-11.