“Crude oil may plunge to less than $10 a barrel in the next decade after surging to a record $147 last year” —Robert Prechter

Created by gwern on 2010-08-03; known on 2021-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-08-03
• gwern said “ http://www.theoildrum.com/node/5669#more ” on 2010-08-03
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/342” on 2010-08-03
• themusicgod1 estimated 36% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2019-01-13
• Bruno Parga said “Price went negative in April 2020. Transport companies would be paid to carry oil away from the well.” on 2021-01-01
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2021-01-01.
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2021-01-01.
• Bruno Parga said “Fuck, I misclicked. This pred is right. I should go to bed.” on 2021-01-01