“Potential GDP growth might also take a hit, falling from around 2.8% during 1997-2008 to around 2.25% in the coming years.” —Nouriel Roubini

Created by gwern on 2010-08-03; known on 2015-06-15; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2015-09-02.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-08-03
• gwern said “ http://www.forbes.com/2009/08/19/recession-job-losses-nber-gdp-growth-opinions-columnists-nouriel-roubini.html” on 2010-08-03
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/386” on 2010-08-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 30% on 2015-08-20
• PseudonymousUser said “Oops. ” on 2015-08-20
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2015-08-20.
• PseudonymousUser said “The CBO estimates potential GDP to grow at 2.1% in the coming years, as of August 25th, 2015: https://www.cbo.gov/publication/50724” on 2015-09-02
• PseudonymousUser said “Not sure whether that makes this prediction right or wrong…” on 2015-09-02
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction unknown on 2015-09-02.
• PseudonymousUser said “(I suppose I shouldn’t have predicted anything.)” on 2015-09-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “In actual fact the GDP growth rate from 2008-11 was 0.25% for those 4 years. He vastly overestimated the GDP growth rate.-0.3 -2.8 2.5 1.6http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?page=1” on 2015-11-27
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-11-27.