“The Mediterranean bluefin breeding population will disappear by 2012 under the current fishing regime.” —Sergi Tudela

Created by gwern on 2010-08-04; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/277 http://www.wildlifeextra.co.nz/go/news/bluefin-extinction009.html#cr” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “reading through recent hits, the population is still there” on 2012-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.