“the Apple tablet will be a flop next year” —Scott Moritz

Created by gwern on 2010-08-04; known on 2010-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-09-26.

• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1561” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/292” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “http://www.thestreet.com/yahoo/video/10504914/why-apples-tablet-will-fail.html?cm_ven=YAHOOV&cm_cat=FREE&cmite=NA&s=1#24124050001 ” on 2010-08-04
• gwern changed their prediction from ““the Apple tablet will be a flop next year”” on 2010-08-04
• aki__ estimated 75% on 2010-09-02
• gwern said “premature, perhaps, but I think we can mark this wrong… already sold 3million http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ipad#Release” on 2010-09-26
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-09-26.