Microsoft will release a variant of the XBox 360 bundled with Natal next Fall.

Created by gwern on 2010-08-04; known on 2010-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2010-12-30.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/301 http://www.1up.com/news/rumor-xbox-natal-microsoft-console” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “actual article says it’s a xbox360 variant, not a true 3rd generation xbox. although writer immediately hedges with Wii-Gamecube comparison…” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “WP says it came out in Nov with an xbox bundle. 4 november is close enough to ‘fall’ that I think I’ll rate it correct.” on 2010-12-30
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-12-30.