“Technical analyst Robert Prechter on Monday said he sees the United States losing its top AAA credit rating by the end of 2010, as he stuck by a deeply bearish outlook on the U.S. economy and stock market.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-04; known on 2010-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-12-30.

• gwern estimated 5% on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “the agencies wouldn’t dare; nor would the markets.” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/302 http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE55E6BM20090615 ” on 2010-08-04
• gwern said “would’ve made headlines if it had lose AAA, so marking wrong unless someone points out such headlines” on 2010-12-30
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-12-30.
• gwern said “for 2011: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2030” on 2011-01-01