“About 18 months from now, 80 percent of newspapers will be gone.” —Michael Wolff

Created by gwern on 2010-08-05; known on 2011-05-01; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2011-03-07.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-08-05
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/243 http://www.editorsweblog.org/newsrooms_and_journalism/2009/04/michael_wolff_predicts_80_of_newspapers.php ” on 2010-08-05
• gimpf estimated 1% on 2010-12-12
• maxdemian   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-03-07.
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-03-07.
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 1% on 2011-03-23
• gwern said “Not even going to check. he wasn’t right about the NYT changing hands, he definitely wasn’t right about 80% dying!” on 2011-05-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-05-01.