Moneyed interests and will become the increasingly dominant force in Iranian politics, while Ahmadinejad will lose influence and the mullahs will become slightly more influential. —Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

Created by gwern on 2010-08-09; known on 2011-02-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-27.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-08-09
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/199 http://www.ted.com/talks/view/id/507 ” on 2010-08-09
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-27.