Moneyed interests and will become the increasingly dominant force in Iranian politics, while Ahmadinejad will lose influence and the mullahs will become slightly more influential. —Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
- gwern estimated 50% on 2010-08-09
- gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/199 http://www.ted.com/talks/view/id/507 ” on 2010-08-09
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-27.
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