LSD microdosing experiment: pair 17: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2013-02-20; known on 2013-02-21; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-02-20.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2013-02-20
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-02-20.
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2013-02-20” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16

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