Australia will not have car factories by the end of the current recession. —Clive Matthew-Wilson

Created by gwern on 2010-08-09; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-08-28.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2010-08-09
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/219 http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,25334654-3122,00.html ” on 2010-08-09
• gimpf estimated 50% on 2010-12-13
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 35% on 2012-07-03
• gwern said “see Holden prediction; marking wrong” on 2012-08-28
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-08-28.