“There is no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant [> 3%] market share.” —Steve Ballmer

Created by gwern on 2010-08-10; known on 2011-03-31; judged wrong by gimpf on 2010-12-12.

• gwern estimated 0% on 2010-08-10
• gwern said “iphone global market share already 16%: http://www.macobserver.com/tmo/article/idc_iphone_global_market_share_jumps_to_16.1_in_q1_2010/ (US share even higher)” on 2010-08-10
• gwern said “http://www.usatoday.com/money/companies/management/2007-04-29-ballmer-ceo-forum-usat_N.htm http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/108” on 2010-08-10
• kallman said “If it’s already known wrong, why not just judge it?” on 2010-11-20
• gimpf estimated 0% on 2010-12-12
• gimpf   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-12-12.