loan and securities losses in the U.S. will reach $3.6 trillion. —Nouriel Roubini

Created by gwern on 2010-08-11; known on 2013-03-28

• gwern estimated 50% on 2010-08-11
• gwern on 2010-08-11
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/41 http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aUzSQ01UhV6s ” on 2010-08-11
• RandomThinker said “Not clear what Roubini was trying to predict here.” on 2013-04-08
• gwern said “I’m not finding any defensible stats on this, so I’m going to withdraw it as unjudgeable” on 2013-07-01