The Terrafugia company will begin selling the Transition flying car to private individuals as a street-legal and air-legal vehicle in the United States by the end of 2011.
- hmadison estimated 80% on 2010-08-11
- gwern estimated 40% on 2010-08-12
- kallman estimated 5% and said “I don’t see legislators letting you drive a plane on normal roads, plus seems open to abuse (criminal element?)” on 2010-11-23
- gwern said “wikipedia says the vehicle is now scheduled for 2012; marking wrong” on 2011-12-31
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-31.
Please log in to respond to or judge prediction