MetaMed to face legal challenges from regulators by 2016 (S.T. Rev via Twitter).

Created by simplicio on 2013-03-05; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by btrettel on 2015-09-02.

• simplicio estimated 30% on 2013-03-05
• gwern estimated 25% and said “there are many reasons the startup could fail, but I’m not sure what grounds regulators would challenge on. they’re not doing anything but writing stuff” on 2013-03-05
• Qiaochu estimated 15% on 2013-03-13
• ChristianKl estimated 15% on 2013-03-13
• Jenson estimated 20% on 2013-03-23
• Thelas estimated 25% on 2013-03-26
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% on 2013-03-27
• hedges estimated 5% on 2013-04-03
• Osuniev estimated 3% on 2013-04-17
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2015-09-02
• btrettel   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-09-02.
• btrettel said “MetaMed does not exist any longer. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MetaMed” on 2015-09-02
• btrettel said “And AFAIK never faced legal challenges during its life. Someone else can correct me.” on 2015-09-02