“Before the holidays, Amazon will cut the price of the Wi-Fi Kindle to $99, and the 3G version will go for $150 or less.” —Farhad Manjoo

Created by gwern on 2010-08-13; known on 2010-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-12-30.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2010-08-13
• gwern said “http://www.slate.com/id/2263787/” on 2010-08-13
• gwern said “I hate betting against falling prices in tech, but while I could buy a cut to $150, $99 seems too close to the bone by his analysis.” on 2010-08-13
• gwern said “Also, ‘holidays’ is vague, so I’m being very generous and just setting the date to the end of the year. Surely past Christmas counts?” on 2010-08-13
• anonym estimated 20% on 2010-11-27
• gwern said “nope. at $140 for wifi, and all the others are even more expensive: http://www.amazon.com/Kindle-Wireless-Reader-Wifi-Graphite/dp/B002Y27P3M” on 2010-12-30
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-12-30.