“We will end the decade with some mobile [electronics] energy storage system with an energy density close to or better than fat metabolism.” —W.H. Pearson
- gwern estimated 40% on 2010-08-17
- gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/1dpw?c=1 specifies must be ‘commonly used’.” on 2010-08-17
- pranomostro estimated 45% on 2019-01-10
- Bruno Parga said “For reference, burning 1g of fat releases 9 Calories, or 9 kilocalories (lowercase – yes, it’s stupid), equal to 37.7 kJ.” 25 days ago
- Bruno Parga said “Per Quora (https://cutt.ly/Gryx31A)), a density of 130 Wh/kg was typical in May 2018. That is 0.468 kJ/g, off by two orders of magnitude. I say this is wrong.” 25 days ago
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong 18 days ago.
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