US health-care expenditure >=$6 trillion in 2018 —orthonormal

Created by gwern on 2010-08-18; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by orthonormal on 2019-12-31.

• gwern estimated 39% on 2010-08-18
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/1dq7?c=1” on 2010-08-18
• orthonormal   judged this prediction wrong on 2019-12-31.