Cyprus will leave the EU before 2017
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-03-23; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.
- RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-03-23
- phreeza estimated 2% on 2013-05-02
- JoshuaZ estimated 26% on 2013-05-02
- themusicgod1 estimated 46% and said “running out of time. ” on 2016-10-10
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.