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Cyprus will leave the EU before 2017

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-03-23; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.

  • RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-03-23
  • phreeza estimated 2% on 2013-05-02
  • JoshuaZ estimated 26% on 2013-05-02
  • themusicgod1 estimated 46% and said “running out of time. on 2016-10-10
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.