“While president, Obama will announce support for means testing Social Security” —James Miller
- gwern estimated 20% on 2010-08-21
- Larks estimated 40% on 2010-09-29
- saturn estimated 25% on 2012-03-02
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-20.
- elephantower said “when I saw this prediction (today) I was around 60% sure that it had come true. Apparently Obama wasn’t that much of a sellout :) ” on 2019-12-31
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