“While president, Obama will announce support for means testing Social Security” —James Miller

Created by gwern on 2010-08-21; known on 2017-01-20; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-20.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2010-08-21
  • Larks estimated 40% on 2010-09-29
  • saturn estimated 25% on 2012-03-02
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-20.
  • elephantower said “when I saw this prediction (today) I was around 60% sure that it had come true. Apparently Obama wasn’t that much of a sellout :) on 2019-12-31

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