Now that Goodreads has been acquired by Amazon, “I doubt it will survive in its current form for more than 2 years.” — Joey Hess

Created by alecbrooks on 2013-04-01; known on 2015-04-01; judged wrong by alecbrooks on 2015-04-04.

• alecbrooks estimated 65% on 2013-04-01
• alecbrooks said “Post where the prediction was made: http://joeyh.name/blog/entry/Goodreads_vs_LibraryThing_vs_Free_software/.” on 2013-04-01
• gwern estimated 40% and said “what is “current form”? and let’s keep in mind that amazon already owns 40% of LibraryThing!” on 2013-04-01
• RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-04-03
• alecbrooks   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-04-04.