Lucas Sloan will be admitted into UC Berkeley.

Created by gwern on 2010-08-26; known on 2010-05-01; judged right by gwern on 2010-08-27.

• gwern estimated 80% on 2010-08-26
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/1eh2?c=1” on 2010-08-26
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2011-12-31” on 2010-08-27
• gwern said “‘about 3 months ago’ http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/2ifi” on 2010-08-27
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-08-27.
• gwern said “see http://lesswrong.com/lw/1la/new_years_predictions_thread/2imu?c=1” on 2010-08-27