Ebola epidemic has ended.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-01; known on 2016-01-14; judged right by ioannes on 2016-01-14.

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 90% on 2016-01-01
• Raahul_Kumar said “Since 29 November, not a single new Ebola case has been reported in Guinea, Sierra Leone, or Liberia. If no new cases pop up, the world will be able to declare on 14 January that the 2-year Ebola epidemic has ended at last, ” on 2016-01-01
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://news.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider” on 2016-01-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2016-01-01
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 85% on 2016-01-01
• gwern estimated 91% on 2016-01-01
• EloiseRosen estimated 90% on 2016-01-01
• Raahul_Kumar said “On December 29, 2015, WHO declared Guinea free of Ebola virus transmission after 42 had passed since the last patient with Ebola tested laboratory-negative twice. The country has now entered a 90-day period of heightened surveillance.” on 2016-01-02
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbreaks/2014-west-africa/index.html” on 2016-01-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 92% on 2016-01-02
• Andrew MacFie estimated 91% on 2016-01-02
• ruperthardy estimated 90% and said “Until the next one…” on 2016-01-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 95% on 2016-01-04
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 95% and said “No new confirmed cases of Ebola were reported in the week up to January 3, according to WHO’s January 6 Situation Report.” on 2016-01-07
• ioannes estimated 95% on 2016-01-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 95% on 2016-01-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “Ebola epidemic halted in Guineahttp://www.ameripublications.com/ebola-epidemic-halted-in-guinea/67159” on 2016-01-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 98% on 2016-01-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2016-01-11
• Raahul_Kumar said “Guinea Ebola outbreak over, WHO declaresThis means all three Mano River Union countries (Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone) are now Ebola-free.http://www.mytechbits.com/guinea-ebola-outbreak-over-who-declares/981150825/” on 2016-01-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 99% on 2016-01-12
• Raahul_Kumar said “Ebola epidemic to be declared over as Liberia expects all-clear http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/13/ebola-epidemic-over-liberia-expects-all-clear-world-health-organisation” on 2016-01-13
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 99% on 2016-01-13
• ioannes   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-14.
• PseudonymousUser said ““Sierra Leone officials have confirmed a death from Ebola, hours after the World Health Organization declared the latest West Africa outbreak over.” http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-35320363?” on 2016-01-15
• JoshuaZ said “Hah, so, prediction correct but just barely. Should have been less confident. ” on 2016-01-15