Rey is a reincarnated Anakin Skywalker

Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-01-01; known on 2018-06-02; judged wrong by gallerdude on 2017-12-21.

• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2016-01-01
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 0% and said “>1%. Is reincarnation even a thing in Star Wars?” on 2016-01-01
• JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2017-01-01” on 2016-01-01
• JoshuaZ said “Not in general no but they broke so many rules of how the Force works in the last film that I’m not sure that should be relevant. ” on 2016-01-01
• gwern estimated 10% and said “would be an interesting twist on the Kylo Ren thing anyway.” on 2016-01-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2016-01-02
• danielfilan estimated 1% on 2016-01-02
• splorridge estimated 0% and said “Apart from anything else, she was born after Anakin died…” on 2016-01-02
• artir estimated 0% on 2016-03-13
• PlacidPlatypus said “Can we specify this a little more? Like she has to be explicitly revealed to be in a movie released by a given date, or within a certain number of movies she appears in?” on 2016-03-17
• JoshuaZ said “I was thinking next Star Wars film, but if other people who have given estimates want different criteria (especially if you had broader criteria in mind) please note it. ” on 2016-03-17
• leo_gri estimated 2% on 2016-03-21
• JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2017-06-01” on 2017-06-01
• Michael Dickens estimated 2% on 2017-10-28
• gallerdude   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-12-21.