Givewell adds a charity addressing existential risk to their top charities list in 2016.
- EloiseRosen estimated 0% on 2016-01-05
- EloiseRosen said “See discussion here: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176492” on 2016-01-05
- JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2016-01-06
- PipFoweraker estimated 3% and said “EloiseRosen’s points acknowledged, I’m open to a change of policy / expansion of field.” on 2016-01-06
- mortehu estimated 10% on 2016-01-11
- ChristianKl estimated 2% on 2016-01-12
- lalaithion estimated 1% on 2016-01-14
- Vipul Naik estimated 0% and said “Not gonna happen at this stage. Even to the extent folks at GiveWell think this matters, they would channel those concerns to the Open Philanthropy Project.” on 2016-11-13
- mortehu judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.
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