Givewell adds a charity addressing existential risk to their top charities list in 2016.

Created by EloiseRosen on 2016-01-05; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by mortehu on 2017-01-01.

  • EloiseRosen estimated 0% on 2016-01-05
  • EloiseRosen said “See discussion here: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176492on 2016-01-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2016-01-06
  • PipFoweraker estimated 3% and said “EloiseRosen’s points acknowledged, I’m open to a change of policy / expansion of field.on 2016-01-06
  • mortehu estimated 10% on 2016-01-11
  • ChristianKl estimated 2% on 2016-01-12
  • lalaithion estimated 1% on 2016-01-14
  • Vipul Naik estimated 0% and said “Not gonna happen at this stage. Even to the extent folks at GiveWell think this matters, they would channel those concerns to the Open Philanthropy Project.on 2016-11-13
  • mortehu   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.

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