Bitcoin will end 2016 higher than $500

Created by davidmanheim on 2016-01-28; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• davidmanheim estimated 25% on 2016-01-28
• themusicgod1 estimated 99% on 2016-01-31
• themusicgod1 estimated 91% and said “bitfinex hack” on 2016-08-03
• gwern said “ended at ~$970” on 2017-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.