Bitcoin will end 2016 higher than $500

Created by davidmanheim on 2016-01-28; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2017-01-01.

  • davidmanheim estimated 25% on 2016-01-28
  • themusicgod1 estimated 99% on 2016-01-31
  • themusicgod1 estimated 91% and said “bitfinex hackon 2016-08-03
  • gwern said “ended at ~$970on 2017-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.

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