No major earthquake (>10000 deaths) in the world in 2016

Created by davidmanheim on 2016-01-28; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• davidmanheim estimated 75% on 2016-01-28
• gwern said “max was 676 deaths https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2016” on 2017-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.