No major earthquake (>100 deaths) in US in 2016

Created by davidmanheim on 2016-01-28; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2017-01-01.

  • davidmanheim estimated 99% on 2016-01-28
  • gwern said “0 deaths per WP articleon 2017-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.

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