No major earthquake (>100 deaths) in US in 2016

Created by davidmanheim on 2016-01-28; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• davidmanheim estimated 99% on 2016-01-28
• gwern said “0 deaths per WP article” on 2017-01-01
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.