Most babies born in 2022 do not have Zika virus.
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-01-29; known on 2023-01-01; judged right by Baeboo on 2023-01-01.
- themusicgod1 estimated 95% on 2016-01-29
- davidmanheim estimated 99% and said “The mosquitoes that carry Zika (and Dengue, Chik, etc.) are not endemic in most places (https://qzprod.files.wordpress.com/2015/04/aegypti-the-lancet_colorcorrected.jpeg)) and even where they are, endemic diseases infect few people each year.” on 2016-01-29
- JoshuaZ estimated 99% on 2016-01-29
- PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2016-01-30
- EloiseRosen estimated 99% on 2016-01-30
- PseudonymousUser estimated 97% on 2016-01-30
- gwern estimated 100% and said “what, worldwide? No. a lot of places don’t even have mosquitoes” on 2016-01-30
- themusicgod1 said “gwern yet” on 2016-01-31
- ioannes estimated 100% on 2016-01-31
- ChristianKl said “Please define “most”” on 2016-02-01
- daniel74f estimated 100% on 2016-02-06
- aarongertler estimated 100% on 2016-02-06
- Temeraire estimated 100% on 2016-02-11
- equivrel estimated 99% on 2016-02-14
- leo_gri estimated 100% on 2016-03-21
- two2thehead estimated 100% on 2016-04-20
- alecbrooks estimated 100% on 2016-08-13
- Baeboo estimated 100% on 2017-07-30
- pranomostro estimated 99% on 2018-09-02
- Selentelechia estimated 100% on 2018-10-24
- jazzsolo estimated 100% on 2018-12-03
- deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
- PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2020-03-14
- Medea estimated 100% on 2020-09-11
- n99 estimated 100% on 2022-10-28
- Baeboo judged this prediction right on 2023-01-01.
