Vladimir Putin is not the President of Russia at the end of this prediction.

Created by kuudes on 2016-02-07; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

• kuudes estimated 60% on 2016-02-07
• gwern said “What about PM?” on 2016-02-07
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “Putin Expresses Doubt About Running for President for 4th Timehttp://www.themoscowtimes.com/news/article/putin-expresses-doubt-about-running-for-president-for-4th-time/535903.html” on 2016-02-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2016-02-08
• PseudonymousUser said “60” on 2016-02-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 60% and said “^Excuse me, sorry” on 2016-02-08
• kuudes said “@gwern: prediction is specific to the post of President of Russia and Vladimir Putin. Point is to fix the end date to beginning of 2020.” on 2016-02-09
• equivrel estimated 15% on 2016-02-14
• sflicht estimated 75% on 2016-04-19
• two2thehead estimated 100% on 2016-04-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 64% on 2016-04-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% and said “His current term ends in 2024. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_Russia” on 2019-02-25
• Baeboo estimated 6% on 2019-02-26
• Cato said “Current odds imply about 5%: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5150/Will-Vladimir-Putin-be-president-of-Russia-at-the-end-of-2019” on 2019-02-27
• two2thehead estimated 90% and said “Not one of my best predictions I think. I’m probably going to go below 60 percent easily but I’ll punish myself by updating slowly” on 2019-02-27
• amadeu estimated 2% on 2019-04-07
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2019-04-09
• qznc estimated 1% on 2019-12-12
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-12-12
• Pablo estimated 0% on 2019-12-31
• Baeboo   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-02.