Chris Christie will run in the Republican Primary for President of the United States in 2016
Created by Peter Hurford on 2013-04-22; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2016-01-01.
- Peter Hurford estimated 30% on 2013-04-22
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-04-22
- RandomThinker estimated 55% and said “Don’t see why not, but still a long ways off.” on 2013-04-23
- Samm estimated 50% on 2013-04-26
- jaibot estimated 33% on 2013-04-26
- andrevan estimated 25% on 2013-04-27
- gwern said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Christie_presidential_campaign,_2016” on 2016-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2016-01-01.