Largest bitcoin exchange by volume over dec 2016 will be a chinese one / btcCNY*
- themusicgod1 estimated 99% on 2016-02-23
- jesselevine estimated 99% on 2016-02-23
- themusicgod1 estimated 90% and said “bitfinex hack impacts china access iirc” on 2016-08-03
- themusicgod1 said “pretty sure this happened, looking over bitcoinwatch history but it’s all CNY CNY CNY” on 2017-01-01
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.
- gwern said “problem with this is that the Chinese exchanges have had highest volume for years but it’s ascribed to bot and fake trades due to no-fees and aggressive PR campaigns.” on 2017-01-01
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