World Champion of Go will defeat Google's AI
Created by artir on 2016-03-08; known on 2016-03-16; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2016-03-09.
- artir estimated 65% on 2016-03-08
- themusicgod1 estimated 53% and said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176981http://predictionbook.com/predictions/177041http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176982http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176719” on 2016-03-08
- themusicgod1 estimated 70% on 2016-03-08
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “AlphaGo has already taken Seedol to the cleaners in Game 1. There is no way he could win even 1 game, now, or ever. No human will ever be able to be champion in go ever again. AlphaGo has risen.” on 2016-03-09
- Raahul_Kumar said “Notice the extreme gap between my predictions and everyone else’s? And we’ll soon see the result.” on 2016-03-09
- splorridge estimated 23% and said “Playing the meta-game. Raahul_Kumar’s 100% predictions are right about 77% of the time.” on 2016-03-09
- artir judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-09.
- PseudonymousUser said “Uh, there are four games left. Isn’t 3/5 a victory?” on 2016-03-09
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction unknown on 2016-03-09.
- JoshuaZ said “Raahul, please stop tooting your own horn. Let your predictions speak for themselves, and if you are trying to brag about this prediction, maybe note that everyone else predicted before the first game. ” on 2016-03-09
- JoshuaZ estimated 18% on 2016-03-09
- Raahul_Kumar said “18% translates to Lee being able to win 1 game out of 5. 0% means no games, so a big gap here between mine and everyone else here. Artir and Musicgod even think Lee could win.” on 2016-03-09
- EloiseRosen said “splorridge: lolololol” on 2016-03-09
- artir judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-09.
- EloiseRosen said “atir: please stop marking things wrong or right before you know the outcome. 3/5 is a victory and we’re at 2/5. “This is probably going to be wrong” is not the same as “this IS wrong”.” on 2016-03-10
- EloiseRosen judged this prediction unknown on 2016-03-10.
- mtopolnik estimated 15% on 2016-03-10
- waveman estimated 15% and said “2/0 the machine seems to be in a different league from Lee” on 2016-03-10
- Raahul_Kumar said “Artir can you change the due date, I keep being asked to judge this prediction. Although one more game and I can judge it wrong.” on 2016-03-11
- awesomemathlete estimated 0% on 2016-03-11
- themusicgod1 said “We’re at 3/5. Feel free to reverse this.” on 2016-03-12
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-12.
- artir changed the deadline from “on 2016-03-09” on 2016-03-13