Barack Obama leaves the White House with an approval rating ≥ 50. (Favorable/Unfavorable)
- jesselevine estimated 75% on 2016-03-10
- jesselevine said “I set this for Jan 1 and not Jan 20 in fears that the transition will skew the numbers. This is far after the next president will be known so I think it’s fair. I think his approval will increase as people finally give their first honest look” on 2016-03-10
- themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2016-03-11
- gwern said “~53% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html#polls” on 2017-01-01
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.
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