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Created by gwern on 2010-09-22; known on 2025-09-22; judged unknown by gwern on 2010-09-23.

• gwern estimated 99% on 2010-09-22
• gwern said “cf. http://www.reddit.com/r/programming/comments/dhegf/java_creator_james_gosling_why_i_quit_oracle/c108dpb” on 2010-09-22
• gastlygem   judged this prediction right on 2010-09-23.
• gwern   judged this prediction unknown on 2010-09-23.
• Houshalter estimated 99% on 2010-10-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 30% and said “Maybe a bit too confident by @gwern.” on 2019-01-10
• n99 estimated 99% on 2022-10-28
• n99 estimated 1% and said “Oops.” on 2022-10-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2022-10-28