Kim Jung Un ousted, assassinated, or somehow loses power of North Korea, either internally or from some international influence
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-12; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-01-01.
- themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2016-04-12
- themusicgod1 said “see http://predictionbook.com/predictions/177355” on 2016-04-12
- themusicgod1 changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Kim Jung Un ousted, assassinated, or somehow loses power of North Korea, either internally or from some international influence before year end.” on 2016-04-12
- Waring estimated 5% on 2016-04-12
- JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2016-04-12
- splorridge estimated 7% on 2016-04-13
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 4% on 2016-04-14
- ioannes estimated 5% on 2016-04-21
- two2thehead estimated 2% on 2016-09-02
- two2thehead estimated 5% and said “I just realized that this wasn’t a duplicate and is known on 2018. Updating accordingly.” on 2016-09-02
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-01.