A right wing billionaire is behind the creation of bitcoin.
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-04-29; known on 2030-01-01
- RandomThinker estimated 55% on 2013-04-29
- JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2013-04-29
- Peter Hurford estimated 1% on 2013-04-29
- RobertLumley estimated 5% on 2013-04-30
- ShIxtan estimated 5% on 2013-04-30
- RandomThinker said “Wow interesting people don’t think this is possible at all! People don’t think it’s the govt either. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/17756 So it’s either an existing (likely) big corporation or an individual. ” on 2013-04-30
- procran estimated 2% on 2013-04-30
- Jayson Virissimo said “He won’t be a billionaire until he sells his bitcoins, but I think it is very likely that he (and yes, he is almost certainly male) is heavily influenced by right-libertarian memes. How will this be judged if the creator still unknown.” on 2013-05-01
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2013-05-01
- hedges estimated 1% on 2013-05-01
- Tuxedage said “Billionaire before or after making bitcoins?” on 2013-05-01
- ashrewdmint estimated 2% and said “Is it really that far fetched to believe that Bitcoin was created by a lone programmer who wanted to hide his identity? It doesn’t have to be a conspiracy.” on 2013-05-01
- RandomThinker said “@tuxedage lol. @jayson this can only be judged after his identity is known of course, so extended if unknown.” on 2013-05-02
- Tuxedage said “Randomthinker: Why “lol”? It’s not a joke. I’m asking for how this prediction will be interpreted. ” on 2013-05-02
- NathanMcKnight estimated 10% on 2013-05-03
- gwern said “is peter thiel a ‘right wing billionaire’? if satoshi is a billionaire after, does that count? please nail down the definitions here” on 2013-05-03
- RandomThinker said “I’m counting Thiel as right wing billionaire. And yes if Satoshi is a r.w.b that counts.” on 2013-05-03
- RandomThinker said “@tuxedage well he has to be a billionaire before he gets outed. If he becomes one after he gets famous based on it, that doesn’t count.” on 2013-05-03
- Tuxedage said “Randomthinker: I mean being a billionaire as a result of bitcoin. Was he a billionaire before he created bitcoin? Because he could be a billionaire after creating and selling bitcoin.” on 2013-05-05
- RandomThinker said “@tux ok if he gets rich based on bitcoin, as long as it’s before people know that he’s the creator. If he gets funded based on being the creator of bitcoin that doesn’t count. If he secretly trades bitcoins that’s ok.” on 2013-05-05
- Samm estimated 10% and said “Almost certainly rightwing and likely quite rich but Billionare is a lot of money. If you had said multi-millionare then I would have assesed it as far more likely” on 2013-05-09
- RandomThinker said “@Samm A billion ain’t what it used to be. Even Al Gore is worth $200m” on 2013-05-09
- Michael Dickens estimated 2% on 2013-06-16
- two2thehead estimated 1% and said “Right wing needs definition imo. Dollar billionaire before inventing bitcoin? No.” on 2016-05-24
- themusicgod1 estimated 23% on 2016-10-10