A motion to unbind delegates will be voted on by the full Republican convention

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-07; known on 2016-07-19; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-16.

  • elephantower estimated 40% on 2016-07-07
  • two2thehead estimated 15% and said “Don’t know enough to answer this question so I’ll go with the 80-20 rule. Minus 5 percent to match my opinion.on 2016-07-07
  • two2thehead said “Related prediction http://predictionbook.com/predictions/178695on 2016-07-07
  • elephantower said “What is the 80-20 rule? (btw, thanks for linking the two predictions)on 2016-07-07
  • two2thehead said “No worries. :-) It’s the pareto principle. I’m probably using the term wrong but I refer to it when I take (what I believe) the median opinion is and change the odds depending on what my opinion is. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_principleon 2016-07-07
  • Jenson estimated 25% and said “Yeah, no. It says for example the top 20% owns 80% of wealth, for example, or top 20% of countries have 80% of the world’s population. Nothing to do with this.on 2016-07-10
  • elephantower said “@Jenson — yeah I was a bit confused, glad to know I’m not the only oneon 2016-07-16
  • elephantower said “It refers generally to power distributions I thought…on 2016-07-16
  • elephantower said “Anyways the rule committee nixed thison 2016-07-16
  • elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-16.

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